Aftermath of Ukraine invasion
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No mention of Russia, the aggressor, making any concessions - and nothing about security measures to prevent Putin coming back for more later
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Whatever emerges from the Ukraine peace talks, Trump's behaviour has harmed America’s reputation www.patternsofpower.org/ukraine-peace-talks
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Trump’s anger at Russia's latest attacks is hypocritical because he had weakened Ukraine's ability to defend itself, so Russia was bound to take advantage www.euronews.com/2025/03/07/t...
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Trump’s so-called peace deal looks like surrender - and Russia is still bombing power plants in a breach of its terms www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2...
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Trump is bragging again: www.politico.eu/article/no-o.... That's part of his style www.patternsofpower.org/trump-style/ but he underestimates Putin.
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As Putin starts to increase “the overall size of its military to almost 2.39 million” https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c36718p52eyo, he intends to continue threatening his neighbours. Trump isn’t persuading him to stop.
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Ukraine and Russia are accusing each other of violating the Easter ceasefire https://www.bbc.com/news/live/c934nprkqz3t Putin seems not to be deterred by America's threat to walk away from the peace talks
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President Trump is offering a deal which rewards Russia for its aggression. It does nothing to prevent a further invasion in the future. President Zelenskyy needs to ask for a better deal (but he must accept some loss of territory).
Quote Karoline Leavitt
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Trump is trying to force Ukraine to accept a deal that gives Russia almost everything it wants, without considering how to stop Putin coming back later for further territory https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2025/04/25/trump-repeating-all-mistakes-of-appeasement-except-worse/
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Putin didn’t meet Zelenskiy today, despite having earlier offered to do so. Nor has he agreed to a ceasefire. He will continue his invasion of Ukraine until more US weapons and European sanctions can tilt the balance of power https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/putin-trump-skip-ukraines-peace-talks-that-russian-leader-proposed-2025-05-14/
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Trump boasted that he could stop Putin’s invasion of Ukraine “within 24 hours” – but Russia’s latest aerial attack is the largest yet. Putin is mocking Trump: https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cx2rx8kxdm4o
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This successful Ukrainian attack, made with slender resources, gives Russia a timely reminder that effective resistance would continue even if it succeeded in grabbing more territory https://www.reuters.com/business/aerospace-defense/ukraine-stages-major-attack-russian-aircraft-with-drones-security-official-says-2025-06-01/
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European nations are showing determination to defend themselves. Their increased spending makes a European security guarantee to Ukraine look more credible, even without giving it NATO membership https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cvg8pd2y80go
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Putin has humiliated the US President, by showing how Trump’s campaign pledge to end the war on Ukraine in 24 hours was just an empty boast by #TACO: the man who always climbs down https://www.reuters.com/business/aerospace-defense/russian-drone-attack-triggers-fire-roof-apartment-block-officials-say-2025-07-03/
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Trump’s new approach to arming Ukraine is hard to analyse: Ukraine would get more weapons if Europeans pay; 50 days lets Russia take a lot more territory; Trump often climbs down https://edition.cnn.com/2025/07/14/politics/us-ukraine-weapons-trump
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Zelenskiy’s anti-corruption decision is welcome, showing the benefit of EU pressure – but it remains unclear what he had previously been trying to do and whether the necessary reforms will materialise https://www.reuters.com/world/eu-urges-ukraine-uphold-independent-anti-corruption-bodies-zelenskiy-signals-2025-07-27/
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Trump’s sanctions threat is bonkers. It doesn’t hurt Russia but does hurt the West. And he’ll probably have to draw back from secondary sanctions on China and India, who buy most of Russia’s oil https://www.reuters.com/world/russia-has-developed-immunity-sanctions-kremlin-says-after-trump-tightens-2025-07-30/
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Ukraine’s survival is more likely with the three Nordic countries adding to the Dutch contribution for a total of ˆ1bn supply of weaponry, but Russia is not likely to negotiate a ceasefire to meet Trump’s 8 Aug deadline https://www.reuters.com/world/sweden-norway-denmark-give-500-million-nato-project-send-us-weapons-ukraine-2025-08-05/
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Trump allowed a slippage in his Aug 8 deadline for Putin to agree a ceasefire, and he has returned to his theme of giving Russia most of what it wants. He wants a quick headline and doesn’t care about the strategic picture https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/europe-ukraine-press-us-ahead-trump-putin-talks-2025-08-09/
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Ukraine cannot recover its lost territory but it needs a deal that would stop Russia invading again. A tough negotiation that neither it nor the EU can afford to lose, despite Trump’s desire for a quick headline https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/ukraine-sidelined-trump-putin-summit-fights-russian-grab-more-territory-2025-08-12/
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The Alaska talks were inconclusive. Trump’s wish to be seen as a peace-maker is further dented. And if he doesn’t now apply the threatened sanctions on Russia he won’t be seen as a strongman either https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/clyvd3gkg1po
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Hungary and Slovakia have not been supporting European security guarantees for Ukraine, partly because they rely on Russian oil, but Ukrainian attacks on the Druzhba oil pipeline are changing that economic situation https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/russian-oil-flows-hungary-slovakia-halted-after-ukrainian-attack-2025-08-18/
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Russia clearly has no appetite for slowing its offensive in Ukraine. And Putin doesn’t want to meet Zelenskyy as an equal, despite Trump’s wishes.
This war is going to drag on